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Prediction for CME (2014-01-14T10:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2014-01-14T10:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/4413/-1
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2014-01-18T18:07Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 1.0

Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-01-18T12:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note:
:Issued: 2014 Jan 15 1041 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/presto
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# FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
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The eruption, originating from the Catania sunspot group 9 (NOAA AR 1950) at about 08:30 UT on January 14, was accompanied by coronal dimming, EIT wave and a post-eruption arcade observed by SDO/AIA. 
Due to data gap the associated partial halo CME was first seen in the SOHO/LASCO C2 field of view only at the height of about 4.5 solar radii, at 11:36 UT on January 14. The CME had a width of about 180 degrees and approximate speed of 400 km/s. The bulk of the CME mass was directed northward of the Sun-Earth line, however, we expect at least the glancing blow from the associated CME-driven shock wave, on January 18. It may result in unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions.
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Lead Time: 79.43 hour(s)
Difference: 6.12 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2014-01-15T10:41Z
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